Our Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 1-1
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 20, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Arsenal
Real Madrid will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 UEFA Champions League defeat at the hands of Arsenal on April 16. In that match, Real Madrid saw 66% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 66% | 10 (3) | 1.5 | 76 |
 Arsenal | 34% | 10 (6) | 2.05 | 36 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Rangers
Athletic Bilbao will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 UEFA Europa League triumph against Rangers on April 17. In that match, Athletic Bilbao recorded 56% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletic Bilbao | 56% | 12 (4) | 2.56 | 67 |
 Rangers | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.56 | 26 |
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.11 | Defence Strength | 0.62 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 16-17
Athletic Bilbao 11-6
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.8
Athletic Bilbao to win: @5
Lineups
Real Madrid (3-4-2-1) : Thibaut Courtois, Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Unai Simon, Andoni Gorosabel, Aitor Paredes, Unai Nunez, Adama Boiro, Benat Prados, Mikel Vesga, Alvaro Djalo, Unai Gomez, Alex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta