Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction: 1-2
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 3, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Slavia Prague vs Athletic Bilbao
Determined to get back to winning ways, Athletic Bilbao must win after their 0-0 UEFA Champions League draw against Slavia Prague on November 25. In that match, Athletic Bilbao saw 48% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Slavia Prague | 52% | 4 (3) | 0.71 | 43 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 48% | 6 (4) | 0.99 | 38 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Elche vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Spain La Liga stalemate against Elche on November 23. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 52% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elche | 48% | 12 (6) | 1.66 | 59 |
 Real Madrid | 52% | 16 (7) | 3.06 | 70 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Athletic Bilbao | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.73 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletic Bilbao are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Athletic Bilbao 9-16
Real Madrid 20-10
What are the odds for this match?
Athletic Bilbao to win: @4
Draw: @4
Real Madrid to win: @1.8