Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction: 1-2
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 3, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Levante vs Athletic Bilbao
Determined to maintain their recent success, Athletic Bilbao must win following their 2-0 Spain La Liga victory against Levante on November 29. In that match, Athletic Bilbao saw 44% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Levante | 56% | 8 (4) | 1.25 | 27 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 44% | 8 (4) | 2.93 | 48 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Girona vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Spain La Liga stalemate against Girona on November 30. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 60% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Girona | 40% | 8 (4) | 1.13 | 22 |
 Real Madrid | 60% | 13 (4) | 2.56 | 106 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Athletic Bilbao | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.73 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletic Bilbao are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Athletic Bilbao 10-12
Real Madrid 18-9
What are the odds for this match?
Athletic Bilbao to win: @4
Draw: @4
Real Madrid to win: @1.8