Our Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Valencia in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 14:15 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 5, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Real Madrid will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 4-4 Spain Copa del Rey draw with Real Sociedad on April 1. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 56% possession, attempting 19 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 56% | 19 (10) | 3.02 | 55 |
 Real Sociedad | 44% | 8 (5) | 0.99 | 49 |
Valencia's Last Match – Valencia vs Mallorca
Valencia must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Spain La Liga victory over Mallorca in their last outing. In that match, Valencia recorded 44% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Valencia | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.67 | 34 |
 Mallorca | 56% | 8 (2) | 0.58 | 53 |
Real Madrid vs Valencia Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 0.96 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Valencia average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 20-13
Valencia 13-22
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.3
Draw: @5.75
Valencia to win: @8.5
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Fran Gonzalez, Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Antonio Rudiger, Francisco Garcia, Brahim Diaz, Luka Modric, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior
Valencia (5-3-2) : Giorgi Mamardashvili, Max Aarons, Cristhian Mosquera, Mouctar Diakhaby, Cesar Tarrega, Jesus Vazquez, Andre Almeida, Enzo Barrenechea, Javier Guerra Moreno, Diego Lopez, Umar Sadiq