Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: 1-1
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 9, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 UEFA Champions League triumph against Atletico Madrid on March 4. In that match, Real Madrid had 51% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 51% | 9 (7) | 0.75 | 62 |
 Atletico Madrid | 49% | 5 (2) | 0.19 | 38 |
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Sevilla on March 1. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 64% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 64% | 14 (8) | 2.58 | 56 |
 Sevilla | 36% | 7 (5) | 0.56 | 37 |
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.47 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Rayo Vallecano average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 17-11
Rayo Vallecano 12-10
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.285
Draw: @5.75
Rayo Vallecano to win: @9.5
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Andriy Lunin, Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, David Alaba, Francisco Garcia, Rodrygo, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Aridane Hernandez, Alfonso Espino, Pedro Díaz, Pathe Ciss, Adri Embarba, Gerard Gumbau, Pep Chavarria, Alvaro Garcia