Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction: 1-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. We predict a 1-2 away victory, but with both teams finding the net regularly, BTTS is also a strong betting option.
This Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 UEFA Conference League victory over Lech Poznan in their last outing. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 66% of the ball and created 15 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 66% | 15 (7) | 2.8 | 78 |
 Lech Poznan | 34% | 3 (3) | 0.36 | 24 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Liverpool vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 UEFA Champions League defeat against Liverpool on November 4. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 61% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 39% | 12 (9) | 2.35 | 51 |
 Real Madrid | 61% | 5 (2) | 0.44 | 59 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | Attacking Strength | 1.79 |
| 1.02 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rayo Vallecano are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano 20-13
Real Madrid 24-9
What are the odds for this match?
Rayo Vallecano to win: @5.5
Draw: @5
Real Madrid to win: @1.48
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Pep Chavarria, Pedro Díaz, Pathe Ciss, Unai Lopez, Isi Palazon, Jorge De Frutos, Alvaro Garcia
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Thibaut Courtois, Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Brahim Diaz, Arda Guler, Eduardo Camavinga, Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe
Barcelona 
Real Madrid 
Villarreal 
Atletico Madrid 
Espanyol 
Real Betis 
Celta Vigo 
Athletic Bilbao 
Elche 
Real Sociedad 
Getafe 
Sevilla 
Osasuna 
CD Alaves 
Rayo Vallecano 
Mallorca 
Girona 
Valencia 
Levante 
Oviedo