Our Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Prediction: 1-1
Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 Spain La Liga loss to Mallorca on January 17. In that match, Athletic Bilbao saw 49% of the ball and created 16 goal attempts, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mallorca | 51% | 14 (9) | 2.54 | 26 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 49% | 16 (11) | 2.13 | 63 |
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs Casa Pia
Sporting will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Casa Pia on January 16. In that match, Sporting controlled 61% of possession and managed 15 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 61% | 15 (5) | 2.28 | 55 |
 Casa Pia | 39% | 4 (2) | 0.19 | 28 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Stats
Key Stats
| Athletic Bilbao | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletic Bilbao are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Sporting average 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.