Our Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction: 3-2
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense in the Brazil Serie B is scheduled for an 00:35 GMT kick-off on Wednesday September 17, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chapecoense's Last Match – Criciuma vs Chapecoense
Chapecoense will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Brazil Serie B defeat at the hands of Criciuma on September 7. In that match, Chapecoense controlled 40% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Criciuma | 60% | 9 (5) | 1.31 | 39 |
 Chapecoense | 40% | 10 (4) | 1.54 | 43 |
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Copa do Brasil loss against Corinthians on September 11. In that match, Athletico Paranaense saw 48% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Corinthians | 52% | 0 (3) | 1.2 | 34 |
 Athletico Paranaense | 48% | 0 (2) | 1.13 | 41 |
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense Stats
Key Stats
| Chapecoense | Athletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.83 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.35 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chapecoense are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Chapecoense 17-9
Athletico Paranaense 12-13
What are the odds for this match?
Chapecoense to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
Athletico Paranaense to win: @2.7
Lineups
Chapecoense (3-4-1-2) : Leo Vieira, Doma, Bressan, Joao Paulo, Everton Souza da Cruz, Rafael Carvalheira, Bruno Matias dos Santos, Walter Clar, Giovanni Augusto, Neto Pessoa, Marcinho
Athletico Paranaense (3-4-3) : Santos, Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gaston Benavidez, Bruno Zapelli, Patrick, Leonardo Derik, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros, Kogitzki Dudu
Ponte Preta 
Atletico GO 
America MG 
Avai 
Botafogo SP 
Ceara 
CRB 
Criciuma 
Cuiaba 
EC Juventude 
Fortaleza 
Goias 
Gremio Novorizontino 
Londrina 
Nautico 
Operario PR 
Sao Bernardo SP 
Sport Recife 
Vila Nova