Our Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction: 1-1
Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:05 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlas's Last Match – Atlas vs Tijuana
Atlas will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Tijuana, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Atlas recorded 43% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlas | 43% | 9 (4) | 0.89 | 29 |
Tijuana | 57% | 9 (4) | 1.38 | 48 |
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss to Toluca on February 28. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara recorded 54% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca | 46% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 28 |
Chivas Guadalajara | 54% | 7 (4) | 0.66 | 44 |
Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Atlas | Chivas Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlas are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Chivas Guadalajara average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Atlas 13-15
Chivas Guadalajara 16-8
What are the odds for this match?
Atlas to win: @4.75
Draw: @3.7
Chivas Guadalajara to win: @1.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Atlas (3-4-2-1) : Camilo Vargas, Gaddi Aguirre, Manuel Capasso, Jorge Rodriguez, Gustavo Ferrareis, Edgar Zaldivar, Paulo Ramirez, Sergio Ismael Hernandez Flores, Diego Gonzalez, Aldo Rocha, Arturo Gonzalez
Chivas Guadalajara (3-4-2-1) : Raul Rangel, Diego Campillo Del Campo, Armando Gonzalez, Jose Castillo, Richard Ledezma, Ruben Gonzalez, Daniel Aguirre, Bryan Gonzalez, Omar Govea, Angel Sepulveda, Roberto Alvarado



Atlas
Tijuana
Toluca
Chivas Guadalajara