Our Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction: 1-2
Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:07 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL
Chivas Guadalajara will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw with Tigres UANL on September 18. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara had 40% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 40% | 5 (4) | 1.35 | 50 |
 Tigres UANL | 60% | 3 (5) | 0.62 | 41 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Puebla
Toluca will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Puebla, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Toluca recorded 63% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 63% | 16 (5) | 1.57 | 52 |
 Puebla | 37% | 8 (2) | 1.35 | 18 |
Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Chivas Guadalajara | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chivas Guadalajara are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Chivas Guadalajara 15-16
Toluca 18-12
What are the odds for this match?
Chivas Guadalajara to win: @2.75
Draw: @3.5
Toluca to win: @2.5
Lineups
Chivas Guadalajara (5-3-2) : Raul Rangel, Jose Castillo, Diego Campillo Del Campo, Luis Romo, Miguel Tapias, Bryan Gonzalez, Omar Govea, Ruben Gonzalez, Armando Gonzalez, Santiago Sandoval Gonzalez, Efrain Alvarez
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Diego Zaragoza, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Ricardo Angulo, Nicolas Federico Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho
Toluca 
Club America 
Cruz Azul 
Monterrey 
Tigres UANL 
Pachuca 
Tijuana 
Juarez FC 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Unam Pumas 
Atlas 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Queretaro 
Atletico San Luis 
Santos Laguna 
Necaxa 
Puebla