Our Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:10 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 16, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Leon vs Toluca
Toluca should win to turn things around after settling for a 3-3 Mexico Liga MX draw against Leon on February 9. In that match, Toluca controlled 63% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Leon | 37% | 6 (3) | 1.06 | 1 |
Toluca | 63% | 8 (4) | 1.78 | 0 |
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Cibao FC
Chivas Guadalajara will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup triumph against Cibao FC on February 13. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara recorded 68% possession, firing 15 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chivas Guadalajara | 68% | 15 (8) | - | 84 |
Cibao FC | 32% | 1 (0) | - | 29 |
Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Chivas Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Chivas Guadalajara average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Toluca 18-14
Chivas Guadalajara 13-9
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.8
Chivas Guadalajara to win: @4.5