Our Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction: 1-2
Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:07 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
→ View Today's Football Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL
Chivas Guadalajara will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw with Tigres UANL on September 18. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara had 40% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 40% | 5 (4) | 1.35 | 50 |
 Tigres UANL | 60% | 3 (5) | 0.62 | 41 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Puebla
Toluca will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Puebla, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Toluca recorded 63% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 63% | 16 (5) | 1.57 | 52 |
 Puebla | 37% | 8 (2) | 1.35 | 18 |
Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Chivas Guadalajara | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chivas Guadalajara are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Chivas Guadalajara 15-16
Toluca 18-12
What are the odds for this match?
Chivas Guadalajara to win: @2.75
Draw: @3.5
Toluca to win: @2.5
Lineups
Chivas Guadalajara (5-3-2) : Raul Rangel, Jose Castillo, Diego Campillo Del Campo, Luis Romo, Miguel Tapias, Bryan Gonzalez, Omar Govea, Ruben Gonzalez, Armando Gonzalez, Santiago Sandoval Gonzalez, Efrain Alvarez
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Diego Zaragoza, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Ricardo Angulo, Nicolas Federico Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho