Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction: 3-1
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Spain Super Cup loss to Real Madrid on January 8. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 54% of the ball and created 16 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Madrid | 54% | 16 (6) | 2.26 | 88 |
Real Madrid | 46% | 7 (4) | 1.13 | 35 |
Mallorca's Last Match – Mallorca vs Girona
Mallorca will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Spain La Liga defeat against Girona on January 4. In that match, Mallorca recorded 49% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mallorca | 49% | 5 (2) | 1.38 | 47 |
Girona | 51% | 7 (4) | 1.4 | 45 |
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mallorca average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.



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