Our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction: 3-1
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 UEFA Champions League draw with Galatasaray on January 21. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 55% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Galatasaray | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.49 | 36 |
 Atletico Madrid | 55% | 12 (5) | 1.42 | 55 |
Mallorca's Last Match – Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 Spain La Liga victory over Athletic Bilbao, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Mallorca had 51% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mallorca | 51% | 14 (9) | 2.54 | 26 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 49% | 16 (11) | 2.13 | 63 |
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.62 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mallorca average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 16-10
Mallorca 15-15
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @1.27
Draw: @5.25
Mallorca to win: @12