Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction: 2-2
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 12, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 2-2 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Spain La Liga loss against Getafe on March 9. In that match, Atletico Madrid recorded 61% possession, firing 2 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Getafe | 39% | 6 (3) | 1.42 | 42 |
 Atletico Madrid | 61% | 2 (2) | 0.97 | 31 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Spain La Liga victory over Rayo Vallecano on March 9. In that match, Real Madrid saw 46% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 46% | 8 (5) | 1.6 | 39 |
 Rayo Vallecano | 54% | 8 (6) | 1.02 | 34 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Attacking Strength | 1.32 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 0.68 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 23-11
Real Madrid 19-11
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.55
Draw: @3.5
Real Madrid to win: @2.625
Lineups
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Jose Maria Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Reinildo Mandava, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
Real Madrid (4-3-3) : Thibaut Courtois, Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior