Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction: 1-3
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid in the Spain Super Cup is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 8, 2026. Our prediction leans towards a 1-3 away victory, though another solid betting option is over 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ attacking form.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Spain La Liga draw with Real Sociedad on January 4. In that match, Atletico Madrid recorded 55% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 45% | 12 (8) | 1.79 | 55 |
 Atletico Madrid | 55% | 7 (2) | 1.22 | 37 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Real Betis
Real Madrid will seek to keep their streak alive after a 5-1 Spain La Liga victory over Real Betis on January 4. In that match, Real Madrid controlled 61% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 61% | 13 (9) | 2.98 | 66 |
 Real Betis | 39% | 10 (5) | 0.98 | 44 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 1.68 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 18-11
Real Madrid 23-14
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.8
Draw: @3.3
Real Madrid to win: @2.4