Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction: 2-2
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 14:15 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 Spain La Liga victory over Rayo Vallecano in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Madrid controlled 61% of possession and managed 15 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 61% | 15 (8) | 3.97 | 71 |
![]() | 39% | 11 (3) | 0.9 | 29 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Levante vs Real Madrid
Determined to maintain their recent success, Real Madrid must win following their 4-1 Spain La Liga victory against Levante on September 23. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 62% possession, firing 18 shots at goal, with 10 on target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 38% | 4 (2) | 1.57 | 25 |
![]() | 62% | 18 (10) | 3.6 | 53 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
---|---|---|
1.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.65 |
0.91 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.7 |
4/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
1.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 14-11
Real Madrid 23-10
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @3
Draw: @3.6
Real Madrid to win: @2.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
Lineups
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Nico Gonzalez, Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Thibaut Courtois, Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe