Our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 1-1
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Man City vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 UEFA Champions League success over Man City on March 17. In that match, Real Madrid controlled 52% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 48% | 17 (8) | 1.91 | 74 |
 Real Madrid | 52% | 14 (7) | 2.93 | 34 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid must win to recover from their recent 2-3 UEFA Champions League defeat against Tottenham on March 18 and regain momentum. In that match, Atletico Madrid had 49% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tottenham | 51% | 10 (11) | 2.44 | 52 |
 Atletico Madrid | 49% | 11 (6) | 1.03 | 40 |
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 0.58 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.3 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 21-8
Atletico Madrid 23-19
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.9
Atletico Madrid to win: @3.5
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Andriy Lunin, Dani Carvajal, Antonio Rudiger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Thiago Pitarch Pinar, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Juan Musso, Marcos Llorente, David Hancko, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
Barcelona 
Real Madrid 
Villarreal 
Atletico Madrid 
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Celta Vigo 
Real Sociedad 
Getafe 
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Espanyol 
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Levante 
Oviedo