Our America MG vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction: 1-0
America MG vs Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 22, 2026. America MG’s home form gives them the edge, and a single goal could be enough to earn them a 1-0 victory over Atletico Mineiro.
Our prediction is supported by key America MG vs Atletico Mineiro stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
America MG's Last Match – Athletico Paranaense vs America MG
America MG will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Brazil Serie B loss to Athletico Paranaense on November 23. In that match, America MG recorded 52% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletico Paranaense | 48% | 16 (4) | 1.01 | 36 |
 America MG | 52% | 7 (2) | 1.16 | 29 |
Atletico Mineiro's Last Match – Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama
Atletico Mineiro will hope to extend their good run following a 5-0 Brazil Serie A win against Vasco da Gama on December 7. In that match, Atletico Mineiro had 59% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Mineiro | 59% | 11 (6) | 1.5 | 70 |
 Vasco da Gama | 41% | 1 (0) | 0.01 | 14 |
America MG vs Atletico Mineiro Stats
Key Stats
| America MG | Atletico Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.37 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
America MG are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Atletico Mineiro average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
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