Our Basel vs Lucerne Prediction: 3-1
Basel vs Lucerne in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 24, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Basel vs Lucerne prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Basel's Last Match – Young Boys vs Basel
Basel will hope to recover from their recent 2-6 Switzerland Super League setback against Young Boys on May 18. In that match, Basel recorded 59% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Young Boys | 41% | 11 (9) | 2.9 | 43 |
Basel | 59% | 12 (6) | 2.2 | 37 |
Lucerne's Last Match – Lucerne vs Servette
Lucerne will be looking to bounce back after a 3-4 Switzerland Super League defeat against Servette on May 18. In that match, Lucerne recorded 50% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucerne | 50% | 11 (6) | 2.16 | 54 |
Servette | 50% | 16 (7) | 3.66 | 31 |
Basel vs Lucerne Stats
Key Stats
| Basel | Lucerne | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Attacking Strength | 1.3 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 2.7 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 3.3 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Basel are averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Lucerne average 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Basel 33-14
Lucerne 20-17
What are the odds for this match?
Basel to win: @1.85
Draw: @4.333
Lucerne to win: @3.4
Lineups
Basel (4-4-2) : Marwin Hitz, Anton Kade, Jonas Adjei Adjetey, Nicolas Vouilloz, Philipas Otele, Moussa Cisse, Taulant Xhaka, Leon Avdullahu, Benie Adama Traore, Albian Ajeti, Xherdan Shaqiri
Lucerne (4-3-3) : Pascal David Loretz, Pius Dorn, Tyron Owusu, Bung Meng Freimann, Andrejs Ciganiks, Kevin Spadanuda, Aleksandar Stankovic, levin Winkler, Adrian Grbic, Donat Rrudhani, Thibault Klidje