Our Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV Prediction: 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday October 1, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over St Pauli on September 27. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen saw 51% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 49% | 12 (6) | 0.65 | 62 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 51% | 5 (4) | 0.6 | 20 |
PSV's Last Match – Excelsior vs PSV
PSV will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Netherlands Eredivisie victory over Excelsior, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, PSV controlled 64% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Excelsior | 36% | 9 (5) | 2.1 | 51 |
 PSV | 64% | 14 (8) | 2.51 | 54 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV Stats
Key Stats
| Bayer Leverkusen | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.59 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayer Leverkusen are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while PSV average 2.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen 21-13
PSV 27-17
What are the odds for this match?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.9
PSV to win: @3.9
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-3) : Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Loic Bade, Edmond Tapsoba, Axel Tape, Aleix Garcia, Ezequiel Fernandez, Alex Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Christian Michel Kofane, Ernest Poku
PSV (4-3-3) : Matej Kovar, Mauro Junior, Armando Obispo, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Ismael Saibari, Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Dennis Man, Guus Til, Ivan Perisic