Our SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 2-1
SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
SC Freiburg's Last Match – Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Germany Bundesliga I loss against Eintracht Frankfurt on March 1. In that match, SC Freiburg saw 37% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 63% | 15 (7) | 1.05 | 36 |
 SC Freiburg | 37% | 4 (2) | 0.55 | 30 |
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Hamburg in their last outing. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 63% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg | 37% | 7 (3) | 1.33 | 32 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 63% | 12 (4) | 1.93 | 71 |
SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats
Key Stats
| SC Freiburg | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.61 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
SC Freiburg are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Bayer Leverkusen average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
SC Freiburg 9-12
Bayer Leverkusen 18-4
What are the odds for this match?
SC Freiburg to win: @3
Draw: @3.3
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @2.375
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1) : Noah Atubolu, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Bruno Ogbus, Christian Gunter, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Vincenzo Grifo, Igor Matanovic
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Janis Blaswich, Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Ernest Poku, Ezequiel Fernandez, Aleix Garcia, Alex Grimaldo, Martin Terrier, Ibrahim Maza, Christian Michel Kofane