Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 2-1

Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.

This Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions

Recent Form Insights

Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs RB Leipzig

Hamburg must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against RB Leipzig on March 1. In that match, Hamburg saw 42% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Hamburg	42%	7 (3)	0.54	30
RB Leipzig	58%	15 (5)	2.7	54

Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz

Bayer Leverkusen will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Mainz on February 28. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen controlled 66% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Bayer Leverkusen	66%	3 (5)	1.07	73
Mainz	34%	4 (4)	0.73	44

Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Hamburg are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Bayer Leverkusen average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Hamburg to win: @3.5

Draw: @3.6

Bayer Leverkusen to win: @2.05

Hamburg Fixtures

Bayer Leverkusen Fixtures