Our Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 1-1
Hamburg vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Hamburg vs RB Leipzig prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – Mainz vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Mainz on February 20. In that match, Hamburg controlled 55% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 45% | 8 (3) | 1.31 | 58 |
 Hamburg | 55% | 10 (5) | 0.64 | 32 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Borussia Dortmund on February 21. In that match, RB Leipzig had 55% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 55% | 8 (3) | 1.78 | 43 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 45% | 5 (5) | 1.31 | 51 |
Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1.13 |
| 0.73 | Defence Strength | 0.54 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Hamburg 14-14
RB Leipzig 15-18
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @3.4
Draw: @3.5
RB Leipzig to win: @2.1
Lineups
Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, William Mikelbrencis, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Damion Downs, Philipas Otele
RB Leipzig (4-3-3) : Maarten Vandevoordt, Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Brajan Gruda, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo, Antonio Nusa