Hamburg vs Mainz Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Hamburg vs Mainz Prediction: 1-2

Hamburg vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.

This Hamburg vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Hamburg's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Hamburg

Hamburg must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Union Berlin on September 28. In that match, Hamburg had 66% possession and 18 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Union Berlin	34%	10 (2)	1.37	47
Hamburg	66%	18 (6)	1.08	40

Mainz's Last Match – Omonia Nicosia vs Mainz

Mainz will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 UEFA Conference League success over Omonia Nicosia on October 2. In that match, Mainz saw 56% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 2 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Omonia Nicosia	44%	9 (3)	0.23	18
Mainz	56%	8 (2)	1.53	61

Hamburg vs Mainz Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Hamburg are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Hamburg to win: @2.875

Draw: @3.5

Mainz to win: @2.35

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85

Lineups

Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Luka Vuskovic, Daniel Elfadli, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolas Capaldo, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Rayan Philippe, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Jean-Luc Dompe

Mainz (3-4-2-1) : Lasse Riess, Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr, Arnaud Nordin, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Benedict Hollerbach

Hamburg Fixtures

Mainz Fixtures