Our Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 1-1
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 17, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Bochum vs Mainz
Mainz will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-1 Germany Bundesliga I success over Bochum on May 10. In that match, Mainz controlled 58% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bochum | 42% | 10 (6) | 0.86 | 43 |
Mainz | 58% | 12 (8) | 1.33 | 48 |
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen will be looking to bounce back after a 2-4 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Borussia Dortmund on May 11. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen saw 61% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayer Leverkusen | 61% | 13 (10) | 2.62 | 90 |
Borussia Dortmund | 39% | 7 (5) | 1.44 | 24 |
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 1.43 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Bayer Leverkusen average 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 16-17
Bayer Leverkusen 16-15
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.9
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @3
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-2-1) : Robin Zentner, Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Jonathan Burkardt
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Lukas Hradecky, Edmond Tapsoba, Jonathan Tah, Piero Hincapie, Nathan Tella, Exequiel Palacios, Aleix Garcia, Alex Grimaldo, Jonas Hofmann, Florian Wirtz, Patrik Schick