Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos
Bayer Leverkusen will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 UEFA Champions League stalemate against Olympiacos on February 24. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen controlled 41% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.65 | 24 |
 Olympiacos | 59% | 4 (1) | 0.16 | 69 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Hamburg
Mainz will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw with Hamburg on February 20. In that match, Mainz had 45% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 45% | 8 (3) | 1.31 | 58 |
 Hamburg | 55% | 10 (5) | 0.64 | 32 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Bayer Leverkusen | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 1.39 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayer Leverkusen are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen 17-5
Mainz 15-12
What are the odds for this match?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @1.7
Draw: @4
Mainz to win: @4.5
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Janis Blaswich, Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Arthur, Ezequiel Fernandez, Exequiel Palacios, Alex Grimaldo, Jonas Hofmann, Ernest Poku, Patrik Schick
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Dominik Kohr, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene, Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz