Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos
Bayer Leverkusen will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 UEFA Champions League stalemate against Olympiacos on February 24. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen controlled 41% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.65 | 24 |
 Olympiacos | 59% | 4 (1) | 0.16 | 69 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Hamburg
Mainz will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw with Hamburg on February 20. In that match, Mainz had 45% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 45% | 8 (3) | 1.31 | 58 |
 Hamburg | 55% | 10 (5) | 0.64 | 32 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Bayer Leverkusen | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 1.39 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayer Leverkusen are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen 17-5
Mainz 15-12
What are the odds for this match?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @1.7
Draw: @4
Mainz to win: @4.5
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Janis Blaswich, Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Arthur, Ezequiel Fernandez, Exequiel Palacios, Alex Grimaldo, Jonas Hofmann, Ernest Poku, Patrik Schick
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Dominik Kohr, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene, Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
VfB Stuttgart 
RB Leipzig 
TSG Hoffenheim 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Union Berlin 
Augsburg 
Mainz 
Hamburg 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Werder Bremen 
Cologne 
St Pauli 
Wolfsburg 
Heidenheim