Our Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction: 1-0
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 8, 2025. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Middlesbrough, as their solid defense should be enough to keep Birmingham at bay.
This Middlesbrough vs Birmingham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Leicester vs Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Championship draw against Leicester on November 4. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 63% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leicester | 37% | 6 (2) | 1.4 | 28 |
 Middlesbrough | 63% | 14 (4) | 1.27 | 63 |
Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs Millwall
Birmingham must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-0 England Championship victory over Millwall in their last outing. In that match, Birmingham recorded 58% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 58% | 8 (6) | 1.73 | 41 |
 Millwall | 42% | 2 (2) | 0.12 | 34 |
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Stats
Key Stats
| Middlesbrough | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.54 |
| 0.54 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Birmingham average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough 10-11
Birmingham 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
Middlesbrough to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.4
Birmingham to win: @2.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Middlesbrough (4-2-3-1) : Sol Brynn, Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Matt Targett, Hayden Hackney, Aidan Morris, Alan Browne, Riley McGree, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway
Birmingham (4-2-3-1) : James Beadle, Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Alexander William Cochrane, Tommy Doyle, Seung Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch