Our Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction: 2-1
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Monday March 2, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Birmingham's Last Match – Millwall vs Birmingham
Birmingham will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 England Championship defeat against Millwall on February 25. In that match, Birmingham controlled 51% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Millwall | 49% | 11 (5) | 1.21 | 48 |
 Birmingham | 51% | 4 (2) | 0.11 | 34 |
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Middlesbrough vs Leicester
Middlesbrough will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Championship draw against Leicester on February 24. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 60% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough | 60% | 9 (4) | 1.21 | 73 |
 Leicester | 40% | 7 (6) | 0.81 | 44 |
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Stats
Key Stats
| Birmingham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 1.35 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Birmingham are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Middlesbrough average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Birmingham 14-10
Middlesbrough 19-11
What are the odds for this match?
Birmingham to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.6
Middlesbrough to win: @2.625
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1) : James Beadle, Bright Osayi-Samuel, Christoph Klarer, Jonathan Panzo, Kai Wagner, Tomoki Iwata, Tommy Doyle, Patrick Roberts, Marvin Ducksch, Demarai Gray, Jay Stansfield
Middlesbrough (4-1-4-1) : Sol Brynn, Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, Adilson Malanda, Matt Targett, Aidan Morris, David Strelec, Hayden Hackney, Dael Fry, Riley McGree, Tommy Conway