Our Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 3-1
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 18, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Eintracht Frankfurt in their last outing. In that match, Bayern Munich had 61% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 39% | 6 (2) | 0.38 | 30 |
 Bayern Munich | 61% | 10 (1) | 1.71 | 67 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against RB Leipzig on October 4. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 51% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 51% | 10 (3) | 0.87 | 50 |
 RB Leipzig | 49% | 7 (3) | 1.04 | 38 |
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 3 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 10/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 3.8 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 3.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Bayern Munich 38-8
Borussia Dortmund 22-11
What are the odds for this match?
Bayern Munich to win: @1.363
Draw: @5.5
Borussia Dortmund to win: @7