Our Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 4-1
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 12, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan
Bayern Munich will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Inter Milan on April 8. In that match, Bayern Munich controlled 58% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern Munich | 58% | 14 (7) | 2.65 | 89 |
Inter Milan | 42% | 5 (4) | 0.9 | 21 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund
After suffering a 0-4 UEFA Champions League loss to Barcelona, Borussia Dortmund must win to get back on track. In that match, Borussia Dortmund had 40% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona | 60% | 15 (10) | 3.74 | 45 |
Borussia Dortmund | 40% | 5 (3) | 1.29 | 23 |
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.89 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Bayern Munich 23-11
Borussia Dortmund 18-11
What are the odds for this match?
Bayern Munich to win: @1.444
Draw: @5.25
Borussia Dortmund to win: @6
Lineups
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1) : Jonas Urbig, Konrad Laimer, Eric Dier, Kim Min-jae, Josip Stanisic, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Michael Olise, Thomas Muller, Leroy Sane, Harry Kane
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-1-2) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson, Pascal Gross, Salih Ozcan, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy