Our Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 7, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund will hope to extend their good run following a 4-0 UEFA Champions League win against Villarreal on November 25. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 67% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 67% | 10 (8) | 3.29 | 58 |
 Villarreal | 33% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 31 |
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Mainz on November 21. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim recorded 54% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 46% | 6 (3) | 2.52 | 0 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.47 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Attacking Strength | 1.53 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while TSG Hoffenheim average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 18-14
TSG Hoffenheim 21-15
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @5