Our TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 1-2
TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 26, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim will hope to recover from their recent 2-3 Germany Bundesliga I setback against SC Freiburg on April 19. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim controlled 61% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Freiburg | 39% | 8 (6) | 1.15 | 30 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 61% | 10 (6) | 1.64 | 49 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia Dortmund will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 Germany Bundesliga I win against Borussia M'gladbach on April 20. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 60% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 60% | 10 (6) | 1.49 | 63 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 40% | 4 (3) | 1.38 | 49 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 12-15
Borussia Dortmund 18-16
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @4.1
Draw: @4.333
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.727
Lineups
TSG Hoffenheim (3-4-1-2) : Oliver Baumann, Arthur Chaves, Leo Ostigard, Kevin Akpoguma, Pavel Kaderabek, Dennis Geiger, Anton Stach, Marius Bulter, Bazoumana Toure, Andrej Kramaric, Adam Hlozek
Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Emre Can, Julian Brandt, Daniel Svensson, Serhou Guirassy, Jamie Gittens
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
RB Leipzig 
VfB Stuttgart 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Cologne 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Hamburg 
St Pauli 
TSG Hoffenheim 
Werder Bremen 
Union Berlin 
Augsburg 
Wolfsburg 
Mainz 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Heidenheim