Our Benfica vs Braga Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Braga in the Portugal League Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 7, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Braga prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Benfica vs Estoril
Benfica will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Estoril on January 3. In that match, Benfica recorded 51% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica | 51% | 10 (4) | 2.32 | 62 |
 Estoril | 49% | 8 (4) | 0.82 | 35 |
Braga's Last Match – Estrela vs Braga
Braga must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 3-3 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Estrela on January 3. In that match, Braga saw 58% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 42% | 7 (4) | 0.92 | 14 |
 Braga | 58% | 10 (5) | 3.2 | 54 |
Benfica vs Braga Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | Attacking Strength | 1.39 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 1.43 |
| 2.6 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Braga average 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Benfica 21-5
Braga 21-10
What are the odds for this match?
Benfica to win: @1.727
Draw: @3.75
Braga to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9