Our Benfica vs Estoril Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Estoril in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Estoril prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Braga vs Benfica
Benfica must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Braga on December 28. In that match, Benfica had 51% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braga | 49% | 5 (4) | 1.75 | 34 |
 Benfica | 51% | 11 (7) | 1.18 | 39 |
Estoril's Last Match – Estoril vs Alverca
Estoril will hope to extend their good run following a 4-1 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Alverca on December 27. In that match, Estoril recorded 64% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estoril | 64% | 8 (5) | 1.3 | 60 |
 Alverca | 36% | 10 (5) | 0.74 | 35 |
Benfica vs Estoril Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Estoril | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 1.44 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Estoril average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Benfica 20-6
Estoril 20-16
What are the odds for this match?
Benfica to win: @1.222
Draw: @5.75
Estoril to win: @13
Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Nicolas Otamendi, Antonio Silva, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Manu Silva, Gianluca Prestianni, Leandro Barreiro, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis
Estoril (3-4-3) : Joel Robles, Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Pedro Amaral, Ricard Sanchez, Jandro Orellana, Jordan William Holsgrove, Joao Carvalho, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marques, Yanis Begraoui
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Rio Ave 
Tondela 
Santa Clara