Our Bristol City vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Bristol City vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 30, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Bristol City vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bristol City's Last Match – Bristol City vs Sheff Wed
Bristol City will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 England Championship victory over Sheff Wed, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Bristol City saw 59% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bristol City | 59% | 14 (7) | 2.53 | 52 |
Sheff Wed | 41% | 3 (0) | 0.71 | 31 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs West Brom
Determined to get back to winning ways, Derby must win after their 1-1 England Championship draw against West Brom on January 23. In that match, Derby recorded 58% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby | 58% | 3 (1) | 0.29 | 39 |
West Brom | 42% | 7 (4) | 0.96 | 42 |
Bristol City vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Bristol City | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bristol City are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.



Bristol City
Sheff Wed
Derby
West Brom
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Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Hull
Millwall
Wrexham
Southampton
Bristol City
Birmingham
Preston
Derby
Watford
QPR
Swansea
Sheff Utd
Stoke
Charlton
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Blackburn
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Sheff Wed