Our Bristol City vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Bristol City vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 30, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Bristol City vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bristol City's Last Match – Bristol City vs Watford
Bristol City will want to continue their winning form after a 5-1 England FA Cup victory over Watford, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Bristol City saw 53% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bristol City | 53% | 0 (7) | 3.22 | 45 |
Watford | 47% | 0 (1) | 0.7 | 28 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Leeds
Derby must win to recover from their recent 1-3 England FA Cup defeat against Leeds on January 11 and regain momentum. In that match, Derby recorded 34% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby | 34% | 4 (2) | 0.41 | 27 |
Leeds | 66% | 16 (11) | 2.01 | 56 |
Bristol City vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Bristol City | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.7 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bristol City are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.



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