Our Derby vs West Brom Prediction: 2-1
Derby vs West Brom in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 23, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Derby vs West Brom prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Preston vs Derby
Derby will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 England Championship victory over Preston on January 17. In that match, Derby saw 49% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Preston | 51% | 6 (1) | 0.73 | 35 |
 Derby | 49% | 12 (4) | 1.75 | 58 |
West Brom's Last Match – West Brom vs Middlesbrough
West Brom must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 England Championship defeat against Middlesbrough on January 16. In that match, West Brom recorded 43% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Brom | 43% | 9 (6) | 1.06 | 36 |
 Middlesbrough | 57% | 8 (5) | 0.92 | 48 |
Derby vs West Brom Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while West Brom average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Derby 12-13
West Brom 13-18
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.625
Draw: @3
West Brom to win: @2.625