Our Burnley vs Brentford Prediction: 1-2
Burnley vs Brentford in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
This Burnley vs Brentford prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Chelsea vs Burnley
Burnley will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Chelsea on February 21. In that match, Burnley recorded 34% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 66% | 7 (2) | 1.81 | 59 |
 Burnley | 34% | 8 (4) | 0.58 | 28 |
Brentford's Last Match – Brentford vs Brighton
Brentford will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 England Premier League defeat against Brighton on February 21. In that match, Brentford had 52% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brentford | 52% | 13 (3) | 1.73 | 42 |
 Brighton | 48% | 10 (7) | 1.1 | 38 |
Burnley vs Brentford Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | Attacking Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.36 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Brentford average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Burnley 15-18
Brentford 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @4.5
Draw: @3.9
Brentford to win: @1.727
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Laurent, James Ward Prowse, Hannibal Mejbri, Lucas Pires, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming
Brentford (4-2-3-1) : Hakon Valdimarsson, Michael Kayode, Kristoffer Ajer, Sepp Van den Berg, Rico Henry, Yehor Yarmoliuk, Mathias Jensen, Dango Ouattara, Mikkel Damsgaard, Kevin Schade, Igor Thiago