Our Benfica vs Casa Pia Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Benfica vs Casa Pia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Benfica vs Bayer Leverkusen
Benfica must win to recover from their recent 0-1 UEFA Champions League defeat against Bayer Leverkusen on November 5 and regain momentum. In that match, Benfica recorded 53% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica | 53% | 14 (6) | 1.42 | 77 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 47% | 6 (3) | 0.74 | 23 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Estrela
After suffering a 3-5 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to Estrela, Casa Pia must win to get back on track. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 56% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 56% | 6 (5) | 1.02 | 38 |
 Estrela | 44% | 8 (11) | 2.07 | 20 |
Benfica vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Benfica 16-7
Casa Pia 14-20
What are the odds for this match?
Benfica to win: @1.166
Draw: @7.5
Casa Pia to win: @13
Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Antonio Silva, Tomas Araujo, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Fredrik Aursnes, Vangelis Pavlidis
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, Kaique Rocha, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Sebastian Perez, Andre Geraldes, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Kelian Nsona
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela