Our Sao Paulo vs Ceara Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Ceara in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Monday September 29, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Sao Paulo vs Ceara prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito
Sao Paulo will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Copa Libertadores defeat against LDU Quito on September 25. In that match, Sao Paulo recorded 75% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo | 75% | 9 (11) | 2.9 | 77 |
LDU Quito | 25% | 1 (1) | 0.55 | 15 |
Ceara's Last Match – Ceara vs EC Bahia
Ceara will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Brazil Serie A draw against EC Bahia on September 20. In that match, Ceara saw 37% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ceara | 37% | 12 (5) | 1.61 | 31 |
EC Bahia | 63% | 14 (5) | 1.19 | 43 |
Sao Paulo vs Ceara Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Ceara average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 8-8
Ceara 8-11
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.6
Ceara to win: @5.5
Lineups
Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2) : Rafael, Rafael Toloi, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Cedric, Damian Bobadilla, Alisson, Enzo Diaz, Rodriguinho, Luciano, Ferreira
Ceara (4-2-3-1) : Bruno, Fabiano, Marcos Victor, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia, Richardson, Diego, Antonio Galeano, Lourenco, Paulo Baya, Pedro Raul



Sao Paulo
LDU Quito
Ceara
EC Bahia
Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo
Athletico Paranaense
Chapecoense
Coritiba
Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
Vitoria
Fluminense
Gremio
Mirassol
Bragantino
Clube do Remo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Internacional
Palmeiras