Our Chapecoense vs Gremio Prediction: 2-2
Chapecoense vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Monday March 16, 2026. Our forecast favors a 2-2 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chapecoense's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense
Chapecoense must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Brazil Serie A defeat against Sao Paulo on March 12 and regain momentum. In that match, Chapecoense controlled 37% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 63% | 14 (7) | 1.47 | 72 |
 Chapecoense | 37% | 4 (1) | 0.57 | 37 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Bragantino
Gremio will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Brazil Serie A share of the spoils with Bragantino on March 13. In that match, Gremio recorded 39% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 39% | 11 (6) | 1.4 | 27 |
 Bragantino | 61% | 15 (8) | 1.58 | 48 |
Chapecoense vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Chapecoense | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.74 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chapecoense are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Chapecoense 15-13
Gremio 16-11
What are the odds for this match?
Chapecoense to win: @2.8
Draw: @3.2
Gremio to win: @2.45
Lineups
Chapecoense (3-4-2-1) : Leo Vieira, Everton Souza Da Cruz, Bruno Leonardo, Doma, Rafael Carvalheira, Joao Vitor De souza Martins, Higor Matheus Meritao, Walter Clar, Giovanni Augusto, Italo de Vargas da Rosa, Yannick Bolasie
Gremio (4-1-4-1) : Weverton, Cristian Pavon, Fabian Balbuena, Viery, Caio Paulista, Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola, Tete, Miguel Monsalve, Juan Nardoni, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius