Our Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction: 2-0
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 12, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 2-0 for the match between Sao Paulo and Chapecoense.
This Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
After suffering a 1-2 Brazil Campeonato Paulista loss to Palmeiras, Sao Paulo must win to get back on track. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 60% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 40% | 8 (3) | 0.77 | 26 |
 Sao Paulo | 60% | 6 (2) | 1.05 | 39 |
Chapecoense's Last Match – Chapecoense vs Barra FC
Chapecoense will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Brazil Campeonato Catarinense success over Barra FC on March 8. In that match, Chapecoense recorded 64% possession, firing 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chapecoense | 64% | 0 (9) | - | 72 |
Barra FC | 36% | 0 (1) | - | 36 |
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 0.46 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chapecoense average 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 16-10
Chapecoense 21-11
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.4
Draw: @4.5
Chapecoense to win: @8.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825