Our Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction: 2-2
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Brazil Serie A setback against Atletico Mineiro on March 18. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 70% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Mineiro | 30% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 31 |
 Sao Paulo | 70% | 7 (3) | 0.57 | 50 |
Palmeiras's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Botafogo
Determined to maintain their recent success, Palmeiras must win following their 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory against Botafogo on March 18. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 52% possession, firing 17 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 52% | 17 (6) | 1.7 | 35 |
 Botafogo | 48% | 5 (3) | 0.59 | 37 |
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.72 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Palmeiras average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 15-8
Palmeiras 19-8
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.2
Palmeiras to win: @2.25
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-3-1-2) : Rafael, Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Diaz, Damian Bobadilla, Daniel Abelha, Marcos Antonio, Cauly, Luciano, Jonathan Calleri
Palmeiras (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Miguel, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo, Joaquin Piquerez, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Allan Elias, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, Flaco Lopez
Palmeiras 
Sao Paulo 
Fluminense 
Flamengo 
EC Bahia 
Athletico Paranaense 
Coritiba 
Atletico Mineiro 
Bragantino 
Botafogo 
Gremio 
Vasco da Gama 
Internacional 
Vitoria 
Santos 
Corinthians 
Chapecoense 
Clube Do Remo 
Cruzeiro 
Mirassol