Our Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction: 2-2
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Brazil Serie A setback against Atletico Mineiro on March 18. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 70% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Mineiro | 30% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 31 |
 Sao Paulo | 70% | 7 (3) | 0.57 | 50 |
Palmeiras's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Botafogo
Determined to maintain their recent success, Palmeiras must win following their 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory against Botafogo on March 18. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 52% possession, firing 17 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 52% | 17 (6) | 1.7 | 35 |
 Botafogo | 48% | 5 (3) | 0.59 | 37 |
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.72 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Palmeiras average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 15-8
Palmeiras 19-8
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.2
Palmeiras to win: @2.25
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-3-1-2) : Rafael, Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Diaz, Damian Bobadilla, Daniel Abelha, Marcos Antonio, Cauly, Luciano, Jonathan Calleri
Palmeiras (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Miguel, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo, Joaquin Piquerez, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Allan Elias, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, Flaco Lopez