Our Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Fortaleza on October 2. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 26% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fortaleza | 74% | 16 (6) | 0.97 | 79 |
 Sao Paulo | 26% | 7 (3) | 1.42 | 18 |
Palmeiras's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
Palmeiras will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 Brazil Serie A triumph against Vasco da Gama on October 1. In that match, Palmeiras had 37% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 37% | 9 (6) | 0.09 | 2 |
 Vasco da Gama | 63% | 8 (3) | - | 3 |
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Palmeiras average 2.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 8-9
Palmeiras 21-6
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @3.5
Draw: @3.1
Palmeiras to win: @2.25
Lineups
Sao Paulo (3-5-2) : Rafael, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Cedric, Damian Bobadilla, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, Enzo Diaz, Luciano, Gonzalo Tapia
Palmeiras (4-4-2) : Weverton, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo, Joaquin Piquerez, Anibal Moreno, Andreas Pereira, Raphael Veiga, Felipe Anderson, Flaco Lopez, Vitor Roque
Palmeiras 
Flamengo 
Cruzeiro 
Botafogo 
EC Bahia 
Mirassol 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
Bragantino 
Ceara 
Vasco da Gama 
Corinthians 
Gremio 
Internacional 
Atletico Mineiro 
Santos 
Vitoria 
Fortaleza 
EC Juventude 
Sport Recife