Our Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 1-1
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Copa Libertadores victory over Cerro Porteno in their last outing. In that match, Palmeiras saw 55% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cerro Porteno | 45% | 10 (2) | 0.69 | 48 |
Palmeiras | 55% | 8 (6) | 1.62 | 38 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Alianza Lima vs Sao Paulo
Determined to maintain their recent success, Sao Paulo must win following their 2-0 Copa Libertadores victory against Alianza Lima on May 6. In that match, Sao Paulo recorded 53% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alianza Lima | 47% | 4 (1) | 0.23 | 37 |
Sao Paulo | 53% | 7 (4) | 1.02 | 28 |
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 2.7 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 15-5
Sao Paulo 14-8
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.5
Sao Paulo to win: @5.75
Lineups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1) : Weverton, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Allan Andrade Elias, Richard Rios, Anibal Moreno, Joaquin Piquerez, Estevao, Paulinho, Flaco Lopez
Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Ruan, Alan Franco, Wendell, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Cedric, Matheus Alves Nascimento, Ferreira, Andre Silva