Our USA vs Costa Rica Prediction: 1-0
USA vs Costa Rica in the CONCACAF Gold Cup is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Monday June 30, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for USA seems the most probable outcome against Costa Rica.
Our prediction is supported by key USA vs Costa Rica stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
USA's Last Match – USA vs Haiti
USA will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 CONCACAF Gold Cup win against Haiti on June 23. In that match, USA recorded 66% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USA | 66% | 13 (7) | 2.59 | 39 |
 Haiti | 34% | 5 (3) | 0.48 | 31 |
Costa Rica's Last Match – Mexico vs Costa Rica
Costa Rica will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 CONCACAF Gold Cup draw with Mexico on June 23. In that match, Costa Rica recorded 30% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico | 70% | 9 (5) | 1.16 | 58 |
 Costa Rica | 30% | 5 (0) | 0.35 | 28 |
USA vs Costa Rica Stats
Key Stats
| USA | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Attacking Strength | 0.57 |
| 0.43 | Defence Strength | 0.53 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 3.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
USA are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Costa Rica average 3.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
USA 20-13
Costa Rica 31-12
What are the odds for this match?
USA to win: @1.571
Draw: @3.9
Costa Rica to win: @6.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @2