Our Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction: 2-1
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Queretaro on September 28. In that match, Tigres UANL saw 71% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Queretaro | 29% | 7 (1) | 0.42 | 34 |
 Tigres UANL | 71% | 12 (8) | 2.27 | 79 |
Cruz Azul's Last Match – Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Tijuana on September 29. In that match, Cruz Azul controlled 38% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tijuana | 62% | 8 (6) | 1.2 | 42 |
 Cruz Azul | 38% | 9 (3) | 0.77 | 26 |
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Stats
Key Stats
| Tigres UANL | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tigres UANL are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cruz Azul average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Tigres UANL 17-8
Cruz Azul 17-13
What are the odds for this match?
Tigres UANL to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.5
Cruz Azul to win: @3.1
Lineups
Tigres UANL (4-2-3-1) : Nahuel Guzman, Javier Aquino, Joaquim, Jesus Angulo, Marco Farfan, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Fernando Gorriaran, Diego Lainez, Angel Correa, Jonathan Herrera, Romulo
Cruz Azul (3-5-2) : Kevin Mier, Erik Lira, Willer Ditta, Gonzalo Piovi, Jorge Sanchez, Jose Paradela, Lorenzo Faravelli, Carlos Rodriguez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Luka Romero, Gabriel Fernandez
Toluca 
Club America 
Monterrey 
Cruz Azul 
Tigres UANL 
Tijuana 
Pachuca 
Juarez FC 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Unam Pumas 
Atlas 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Queretaro 
Atletico San Luis 
Santos Laguna 
Necaxa 
Puebla