Our Leon vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1
Leon vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 9, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Leon vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leon's Last Match – Pachuca vs Leon
Leon will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Pachuca on February 6. In that match, Leon saw 55% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pachuca | 45% | 12 (7) | 1.66 | 66 |
Leon | 55% | 8 (5) | 1.15 | 34 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Tigres UANL
Toluca will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Tigres UANL, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Toluca recorded 66% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca | 66% | 16 (6) | 2.06 | 56 |
Tigres UANL | 34% | 3 (0) | 0.34 | 37 |
Leon vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Leon | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.77 | Attacking Strength | 1.25 |
| 0.5 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leon are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Leon 16-8
Toluca 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Leon to win: @2.875
Draw: @3.75
Toluca to win: @2.3