Leon vs Toluca Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Leon vs Toluca Prediction: 1-2

Leon vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. We predict a 1-2 away victory, but with both teams finding the net regularly, BTTS is also a strong betting option.

This Leon vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Leon's Last Match – Juarez FC vs Leon

Leon will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX defeat at the hands of Juarez FC on September 27. In that match, Leon saw 44% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 1 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Juarez FC	56%	15 (4)	2.27	49
Leon	44%	5 (1)	0.26	36

Toluca's Last Match – LA Galaxy vs Toluca

Toluca will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-2 Campeones Cup triumph against LA Galaxy on October 2. In that match, Toluca had 56% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
LA Galaxy	44%	8 (3)	1.4	37
Toluca	56%	10 (5)	1.28	7

Leon vs Toluca Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Leon are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Leon to win: @4

Draw: @4

Toluca to win: @1.8

Lineups

Leon (4-2-3-1) : Oscar Jimenez, Valentin Gauthier, Oscar Villa, Paul Bellon Saracho, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltran, Jordi Cortizo, David Ramirez, James Rodriguez, Alfonso Alvarado, Rogelio Funes Mori

Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Santiago Simon, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Helinho, Ricardo Angulo, Nicolas Federico Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho

Leon Fixtures

Toluca Fixtures