Our Toluca vs Leon Prediction: 2-0
Toluca vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 26, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 2-0 for the match between Toluca and Leon.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
Toluca should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Atletico San Luis on April 13. In that match, Toluca recorded 61% possession, firing 22 shots at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 61% | 22 (10) | 1.09 | 53 |
 Atletico San Luis | 39% | 8 (1) | 0.45 | 28 |
Leon's Last Match – Puebla vs Leon
Leon must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Puebla in their last outing. In that match, Leon had 54% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 46% | 7 (1) | 0.6 | 32 |
 Leon | 54% | 8 (3) | 1.31 | 54 |
Toluca vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Attacking Strength | 0.58 |
| 0.66 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Leon average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.