Our Puebla vs Leon Prediction: 2-1
Puebla vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Puebla vs Leon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Puebla vs Juarez FC
Puebla should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Juarez FC on April 4. In that match, Puebla recorded 50% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.42 | 32 |
 Juarez FC | 50% | 8 (3) | 1.52 | 52 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Atlas
Leon will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Atlas on April 5. In that match, Leon saw 70% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 70% | 9 (6) | 1.63 | 41 |
 Atlas | 30% | 7 (3) | 0.36 | 15 |
Puebla vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Leon average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Puebla 9-13
Leon 11-20
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.5
Leon to win: @2.9
Lineups
Puebla (3-4-2-1) : Ricardo Gutierrez, Rodrigo Pachuca, Juan Pablo Vargas, Eduardo Navarro, Iker Moreno, Alejandro Organista, Alonso Ramirez, Fernando Monarrez, Kevin Velasco, Emiliano Gomez, Alexis Canelo
Leon (4-3-3) : Oscar Garcia, Ivan Moreno, Valentin Gauthier, Stiven Barreiro, Salvador Reyes, Rodrigo Echeverria, Jose Rodriguez, Fernando Beltran, Juan Dominguez, Diber Cambindo, Ismael Diaz
Chivas Guadalajara 
Cruz Azul 
Toluca 
Pachuca 
Unam Pumas 
Club America 
Atlas 
Tigres UANL 
Necaxa 
Juarez FC 
Leon 
Tijuana 
Monterrey 
Atletico San Luis 
Puebla 
Queretaro 
Mazatlan FC 
Santos Laguna