Our Puebla vs Leon Prediction: 2-1
Puebla vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Puebla vs Leon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Puebla vs Juarez FC
Puebla should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Juarez FC on April 4. In that match, Puebla recorded 50% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.42 | 32 |
 Juarez FC | 50% | 8 (3) | 1.52 | 52 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Atlas
Leon will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Atlas on April 5. In that match, Leon saw 70% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 70% | 9 (6) | 1.63 | 41 |
 Atlas | 30% | 7 (3) | 0.36 | 15 |
Puebla vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Leon average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Puebla 9-13
Leon 11-20
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.5
Leon to win: @2.9
Lineups
Puebla (3-4-2-1) : Ricardo Gutierrez, Rodrigo Pachuca, Juan Pablo Vargas, Eduardo Navarro, Iker Moreno, Alejandro Organista, Alonso Ramirez, Fernando Monarrez, Kevin Velasco, Emiliano Gomez, Alexis Canelo
Leon (4-3-3) : Oscar Garcia, Ivan Moreno, Valentin Gauthier, Stiven Barreiro, Salvador Reyes, Rodrigo Echeverria, Jose Rodriguez, Fernando Beltran, Juan Dominguez, Diber Cambindo, Ismael Diaz