Our Leon vs Puebla Prediction: 2-1
Leon vs Puebla in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 12, 2025. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Leon vs Puebla prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leon's Last Match – Queretaro vs Leon
Leon will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Queretaro on April 5. In that match, Leon controlled 69% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Queretaro | 31% | 10 (8) | 1.19 | 20 |
 Leon | 69% | 10 (5) | 0.99 | 61 |
Puebla's Last Match – Puebla vs Tigres UANL
Puebla should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Tigres UANL on April 5. In that match, Puebla recorded 24% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 24% | 10 (4) | 0.55 | 26 |
 Tigres UANL | 76% | 10 (5) | 0.55 | 52 |
Leon vs Puebla Stats
Key Stats
| Leon | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.69 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leon are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Puebla average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Leon 15-14
Puebla 9-17
What are the odds for this match?
Leon to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.9
Puebla to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825