Our Leon vs Atlas Prediction: 2-1
Leon vs Atlas in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Leon vs Atlas prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leon's Last Match – Atletico San Luis vs Leon
Leon will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Atletico San Luis on March 22. In that match, Leon recorded 53% possession, firing 15 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico San Luis | 47% | 6 (4) | 0.71 | 37 |
 Leon | 53% | 15 (9) | 1.43 | 36 |
Atlas's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Atlas
Atlas will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 America Friendlies setback against Chivas Guadalajara on March 30. In that match, Atlas had 35% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 65% | 0 (8) | - | 39 |
 Atlas | 35% | 0 (2) | - | 18 |
Leon vs Atlas Stats
Key Stats
| Leon | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.49 |
| 1.4 | Defence Strength | 1.2 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leon are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Atlas average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Leon 10-21
Atlas 12-15
What are the odds for this match?
Leon to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.5
Atlas to win: @3.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Leon (4-3-3) : Oscar Garcia, Ivan Moreno, Stiven Barreiro, Valentin Gauthier, Salvador Reyes, Jose Rodriguez, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltran, Juan Dominguez, Diber Cambindo, Javier Nicolas Vallejo
Atlas (3-5-2) : Camilo Vargas, Gaddi Aguirre, Manuel Capasso, Rodrigo Schlegel, Diego Gonzalez, Paulo Ramirez, Aldo Rocha, Sergio Ismael Hernandez Flores, Jorge Rodriguez, Arturo Gonzalez, Eduardo Aguirre