Our Atlas vs Leon Prediction: 2-1
Atlas vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 23, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlas vs Leon stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlas's Last Match – Atlas vs Juarez FC
Atlas will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Juarez FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Atlas recorded 42% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas | 42% | 9 (3) | 1.24 | 18 |
 Juarez FC | 58% | 8 (5) | 1.08 | 58 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Toluca
Leon will look to get back on track following a 2-4 Mexico Liga MX loss against Toluca on October 5. In that match, Leon saw 52% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 52% | 9 (4) | 1.83 | 0 |
 Toluca | 48% | 11 (6) | 2.51 | 0 |
Atlas vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Atlas | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.8 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlas are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match, while Leon average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.