Our Atlas vs Leon Prediction: 2-1
Atlas vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 23, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlas vs Leon stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlas's Last Match – Atletico San Luis vs Atlas
After suffering a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss to Atletico San Luis, Atlas must win to get back on track. In that match, Atlas recorded 58% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico San Luis | 42% | 7 (3) | 1.79 | 40 |
 Atlas | 58% | 8 (2) | 0.25 | 33 |
Leon's Last Match – Santos Laguna vs Leon
Leon will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Santos Laguna on October 18. In that match, Leon saw 61% of the ball and created 18 goal attempts, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Santos Laguna | 39% | 6 (5) | 0.81 | 0 |
 Leon | 61% | 18 (11) | 1 | 0 |
Atlas vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Atlas | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.8 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlas are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Leon average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.