Our Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Monday April 13, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs LA Galaxy
Toluca will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 4-2 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory over LA Galaxy on April 9. In that match, Toluca controlled 72% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 72% | 13 (7) | 2.33 | 67 |
 LA Galaxy | 28% | 5 (3) | 1.23 | 21 |
Atletico San Luis's Last Match – Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX win against Monterrey on April 4. In that match, Atletico San Luis had 39% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey | 61% | 10 (7) | 0.76 | 61 |
 Atletico San Luis | 39% | 12 (7) | 1.09 | 41 |
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.58 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Atletico San Luis average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Toluca 23-11
Atletico San Luis 16-19
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.4
Draw: @5
Atletico San Luis to win: @7
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Diego Zaragoza, Luan, Antonio Briseno, Mauricio Isais, Victor Arteaga, Fernando Arce, Francisco Cordova, Alexis Vega, Pavel Perez, Franco Rossi
Atletico San Luis (4-2-3-1) : Andres Sanchez, Roman Torres Acosta, Juanpe, Eduardo Aguila, Aldo Cruz, Roberto Meraz, Oscar Macias, Jesus Medina, Sebastien Salles-Lamonge, Leonardo Flores, Joao Pedro Galvao