Our Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife Prediction: 2-1
Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Cruzeiro's Last Match – Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Brazil Serie A draw against Flamengo on October 2. In that match, Cruzeiro had 38% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Flamengo | 62% | 7 (2) | 0.74 | 74 |
 Cruzeiro | 38% | 5 (5) | 0.85 | 35 |
Sport Recife's Last Match – Sport Recife vs Fluminense
Sport Recife will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Brazil Serie A draw with Fluminense on October 1. In that match, Sport Recife recorded 48% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sport Recife | 48% | 3 (4) | 1.12 | 51 |
 Fluminense | 52% | 7 (5) | 1.72 | 25 |
Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife Stats
Key Stats
| Cruzeiro | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Attacking Strength | 0.58 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Cruzeiro are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Sport Recife average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Cruzeiro 13-8
Sport Recife 11-14
What are the odds for this match?
Cruzeiro to win: @1.42
Draw: @4.1
Sport Recife to win: @9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95
Lineups
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1) : Cassio, kaua moraes, Jonathan, Lucas Villalba, Kaiki, Lucas Silva, Matheus Henrique, Carlos Eduardo, Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo, Gabriel Barbosa
Sport Recife (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel, Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon, Luan Candido, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Hyoran, Matheusinho, Romarinho, Derik Lacerda