Our Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 2-2
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Campeonato Paulista is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mirassol's Last Match – Mirassol vs Flamengo
Mirassol must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 3-3 Brazil Serie A draw against Flamengo on December 6. In that match, Mirassol recorded 63% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mirassol | 63% | 13 (8) | 2.23 | 56 |
 Flamengo | 37% | 15 (6) | 2.18 | 27 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
After suffering a 0-1 Brazil Serie A loss to Vitoria, Sao Paulo must win to get back on track. In that match, Sao Paulo saw 62% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vitoria | 38% | 13 (8) | 2.34 | 56 |
 Sao Paulo | 62% | 7 (2) | 0.33 | 26 |
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
| Mirassol | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.45 | Defence Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mirassol are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Mirassol 16-9
Sao Paulo 12-17
What are the odds for this match?
Mirassol to win: @2.375
Draw: @3.3
Sao Paulo to win: @2.875