Our Mirassol vs EC Bahia Prediction: 2-1
Mirassol vs EC Bahia in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Mirassol vs EC Bahia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mirassol's Last Match – Mirassol vs Lanus
Mirassol will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Copa Libertadores win against Lanus on April 8. In that match, Mirassol saw 45% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mirassol | 45% | 10 (3) | 0.46 | 41 |
 Lanus | 55% | 5 (2) | 0.34 | 38 |
EC Bahia's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Palmeiras
EC Bahia must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Brazil Serie A defeat against Palmeiras on April 5. In that match, EC Bahia recorded 59% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 EC Bahia | 59% | 11 (6) | 1.21 | 64 |
 Palmeiras | 41% | 5 (5) | 0.27 | 33 |
Mirassol vs EC Bahia Stats
Key Stats
| Mirassol | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.04 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mirassol are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while EC Bahia average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Mirassol 8-14
EC Bahia 21-13
What are the odds for this match?
Mirassol to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.4
EC Bahia to win: @3.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1) : Walter, Igor Formiga, Joao Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo, Jose Aldo, Neto Moura, Negueba, Carlos Eduardo, Edson Carioca, Andre Luis
EC Bahia (4-3-3) : Leo Vieira, Nicolas Acevedo, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Everaldo, Erick Pulga