Our Palmeiras vs EC Bahia Prediction: 3-1
Palmeiras vs EC Bahia in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 27, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Palmeiras vs EC Bahia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Bolivar vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 Copa Libertadores victory over Bolivar, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Palmeiras had 24% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bolivar | 76% | 12 (5) | 1.55 | 87 |
Palmeiras | 24% | 9 (9) | 2.31 | 30 |
EC Bahia's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
EC Bahia will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Copa Libertadores victory over Atletico Nacional Medellin on April 25. In that match, EC Bahia controlled 45% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EC Bahia | 45% | 10 (4) | 1.43 | 59 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin | 55% | 6 (4) | 0.37 | 38 |
Palmeiras vs EC Bahia Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.45 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while EC Bahia average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 14-7
EC Bahia 12-11
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.6
Draw: @4.1
EC Bahia to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.02
Lineups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1) : Weverton, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Luis Gustavo Roncholeta Benedetti, Felipe Anderson, Richard Rios, Anibal Moreno, Joaquin Piquerez, Mauricio, Facundo Torres, Flaco Lopez
EC Bahia (4-2-3-1) : Marcos Felipe, Gilberto, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Ademir, Everton Ribeiro, Erick Pulga, Willian Jose