Our Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction: 2-1
Palmeiras vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Friday April 3, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Brazil Serie A triumph against Sao Paulo on March 22. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 37% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 63% | 5 (0) | 0.04 | 70 |
 Palmeiras | 37% | 5 (2) | 0.13 | 21 |
Gremio's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
Gremio will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Brazil Serie A loss against Vasco da Gama on March 22. In that match, Gremio recorded 63% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 37% | 8 (5) | 1.47 | 51 |
 Gremio | 63% | 6 (3) | 0.53 | 48 |
Palmeiras vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.46 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 17-7
Gremio 13-10
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.2
Gremio to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Palmeiras (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Miguel, Agustin Giay, Bruno Fuchs, Murilo, Jefte, Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Allan Elias, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, Flaco Lopez
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Weverton, Cristian Pavon, Gustavo Martins, Viery, Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro, Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola, Juan Nardoni, Tete, Miguel Monsalve, Jose Enamorado, Carlos Vinicius