Our Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction: 1-1
Palmeiras vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Fluminense vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory over Fluminense on July 23. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 46% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fluminense | 54% | 7 (1) | 1.78 | 50 |
 Palmeiras | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.59 | 31 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Alianza Lima
Gremio will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Copa Sudamericana stalemate against Alianza Lima on July 24. In that match, Gremio controlled 59% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 59% | 10 (4) | 1.01 | 64 |
 Alianza Lima | 41% | 6 (2) | 0.52 | 30 |
Palmeiras vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Gremio average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 19-10
Gremio 9-11
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.363
Draw: @5
Gremio to win: @8.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Palmeiras (4-2-3-1) : Weverton, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez, Lucas Evangelista, Emiliano Martinez, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Luighi, Vitor Roque
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Tiago Volpi, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Wagner Leonardo, Riquelme Freitas, Marlon, Alex Santana, Dodi, Cristian Pavon, Igor Eduardo Schlemper, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite
Palmeiras 
Flamengo 
Cruzeiro 
Mirassol 
Botafogo 
EC Bahia 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
Bragantino 
Ceara 
Vasco da Gama 
Corinthians 
Gremio 
Atletico Mineiro 
Internacional 
Santos 
Vitoria 
Fortaleza 
EC Juventude 
Sport Recife