Our Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction: 1-1
Palmeiras vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Fluminense vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory over Fluminense on July 23. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 46% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fluminense | 54% | 7 (1) | 1.78 | 50 |
Palmeiras | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.59 | 31 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Alianza Lima
Gremio will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Copa Sudamericana stalemate against Alianza Lima on July 24. In that match, Gremio controlled 59% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio | 59% | 10 (4) | 1.01 | 64 |
Alianza Lima | 41% | 6 (2) | 0.52 | 30 |
Palmeiras vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Gremio average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 19-10
Gremio 9-11
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.363
Draw: @5
Gremio to win: @8.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Palmeiras (4-2-3-1) : Weverton, Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez, Lucas Evangelista, Emiliano Martinez, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Luighi, Vitor Roque
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Tiago Volpi, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Wagner Leonardo, Riquelme Freitas, Marlon, Alex Santana, Dodi, Cristian Pavon, Igor Eduardo Schlemper, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite