Our Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: 1-1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday November 20, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Fortaleza vs Gremio
Gremio will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Brazil Serie A draw against Fortaleza on November 9. In that match, Gremio had 46% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fortaleza | 54% | 16 (9) | 1.03 | 55 |
Gremio | 46% | 9 (6) | 2.27 | 38 |
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs EC Juventude
Vasco da Gama will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-3 Brazil Serie A loss to EC Juventude on November 8. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 72% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vasco da Gama | 72% | 6 (4) | 1.65 | 54 |
EC Juventude | 28% | 10 (5) | 1.84 | 21 |
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.81 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Vasco da Gama average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Gremio 12-14
Vasco da Gama 17-15
What are the odds for this match?
Gremio to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.3
Vasco da Gama to win: @3.3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Tiago Volpi, Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur Melo, Cristian Pavon, Franco Cristaldo, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Pumita Rodriguez, Hugo Moura, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Cauan Barros, Tche Tche, Rayan, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti



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