Our Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Prediction: 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday July 19, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Vasco da Gama vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-4 Copa Sudamericana loss to Independiente del Valle on July 16. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 22% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente del Valle | 78% | 18 (13) | 4.91 | 65 |
 Vasco da Gama | 22% | 4 (3) | 0.24 | 8 |
Gremio's Last Match – Alianza Lima vs Gremio
Gremio will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Copa Sudamericana defeat against Alianza Lima on July 17. In that match, Gremio controlled 43% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alianza Lima | 57% | 13 (8) | 1.74 | 67 |
 Gremio | 43% | 6 (3) | 0.24 | 25 |
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Gremio average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 12-15
Gremio 9-11
Lineups
Vasco da Gama (4-3-3) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Hugo Moura, Tche Tche, Rayan, David, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Tiago Volpi, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Wagner Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Alex Santana, Dodi, Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha, Edenilson, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite
Palmeiras 
Flamengo 
Cruzeiro 
Botafogo 
EC Bahia 
Mirassol 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
Bragantino 
Ceara 
Vasco da Gama 
Corinthians 
Gremio 
Internacional 
Atletico Mineiro 
Santos 
Vitoria 
Fortaleza 
EC Juventude 
Sport Recife