Our Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Prediction: 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Vasco da Gama vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense
Vasco da Gama will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 Brazil Serie A win against Fluminense on March 19. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 52% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 52% | 12 (6) | 1.12 | 56 |
 Fluminense | 48% | 11 (5) | 0.73 | 27 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Vitoria
Gremio will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Brazil Serie A triumph against Vitoria on March 19. In that match, Gremio had 44% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 44% | 9 (4) | 1.52 | 39 |
 Vitoria | 56% | 5 (0) | 0.58 | 44 |
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.27 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 14-13
Gremio 13-8
What are the odds for this match?
Vasco da Gama to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.25
Gremio to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Lineups
Vasco da Gama (4-1-4-1) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Alan Gabriel Saldivia Vazquez, Robert Renan, Cuiabano, Hugo Moura, Nuno Moreira, Tche Tche, Thiago Mendes, Andres Gomez, David
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Weverton, Cristian Pavon, Fabian Balbuena, Viery, Caio Paulista, Juan Nardoni, Leonel Peerez, Tete, Arthur Melo, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius