Our Gremio vs Vitoria Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Vitoria in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 19, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Gremio vs Vitoria prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Bragantino
Gremio must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Brazil Serie A draw against Bragantino on March 13. In that match, Gremio had 39% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio | 39% | 11 (6) | 1.4 | 27 |
Bragantino | 61% | 15 (8) | 1.58 | 48 |
Vitoria's Last Match – Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro
Vitoria will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Brazil Serie A success over Atletico Mineiro on March 14. In that match, Vitoria controlled 33% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vitoria | 33% | 7 (4) | 0.32 | 37 |
Atletico Mineiro | 67% | 7 (3) | 1.09 | 60 |
Gremio vs Vitoria Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.43 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Vitoria average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Gremio 16-11
Vitoria 15-13
What are the odds for this match?
Gremio to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.6
Vitoria to win: @5.25



Gremio
Bragantino
Vitoria
Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Fluminense
EC Bahia
Flamengo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Bragantino
Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Mirassol
Santos
Chapecoense
Vasco da Gama
Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo
Clube Do Remo
Cruzeiro
Internacional