Our Gremio vs Vitoria Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Vitoria in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 19, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Gremio vs Vitoria prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Chapecoense vs Gremio
Gremio must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Brazil Serie A draw against Chapecoense on March 16. In that match, Gremio had 65% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chapecoense | 35% | 6 (1) | 1.11 | 35 |
 Gremio | 65% | 7 (4) | 0.68 | 62 |
Vitoria's Last Match – Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro
Vitoria will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Brazil Serie A success over Atletico Mineiro on March 14. In that match, Vitoria controlled 33% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vitoria | 33% | 7 (4) | 0.32 | 37 |
 Atletico Mineiro | 67% | 7 (3) | 1.09 | 60 |
Gremio vs Vitoria Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 1.44 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Vitoria average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Gremio 16-11
Vitoria 15-13
What are the odds for this match?
Gremio to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.4
Vitoria to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975