Our Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction: 1-1
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Monday March 2, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Tachira
Deportes Tolima will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Copa Libertadores Qualification defeat at the hands of Deportivo Tachira on February 27. In that match, Deportes Tolima saw 59% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportes Tolima | 59% | 10 (3) | 0.95 | 34 |
 Deportivo Tachira | 41% | 4 (1) | 0.88 | 34 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Atletico Nacional Medellin will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Colombia Primera A victory over Independiente Santa Fe on February 26. In that match, Atletico Nacional Medellin controlled 61% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Santa Fe | 39% | 12 (3) | 1.2 | 27 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 61% | 9 (3) | 1.6 | 24 |
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Deportes Tolima | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.39 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Atletico Nacional Medellin average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima 11-8
Atletico Nacional Medellin 19-9
What are the odds for this match?
Deportes Tolima to win: @2.9
Draw: @3.1
Atletico Nacional Medellin to win: @2.5
Lineups
Deportes Tolima: Adrian Parra, Jersson Gonzalez, Sebastian Guzman, Juan Mera, Cristian Arrieta, Ever Valencia, Juan Pablo Torres, Shean Barbosa, Jan Carlos Angulo Rosales, Juan Pablo Nieto, Alvino Volpi Neto
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Samuel Velasquez Uribe, Juan Zapata, Cesar Haydar, Neider Parra, Cristian Arango, Mateus Uribe, Eduard Bello, Edwin Cardona, Marlos Moreno, Harlen Castillo, Milton Casco