Our Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction: 1-1
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 23:20 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Colombia Primera A defeat at the hands of Atletico Bucaramanga on September 19. In that match, Deportes Tolima controlled 57% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Bucaramanga | 43% | 10 (7) | 1.44 | 30 |
 Deportes Tolima | 57% | 7 (2) | 0.39 | 53 |
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Colombia Cup defeat against Independiente Santa Fe on September 24. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 60% possession, firing 18 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 60% | 18 (9) | - | 139 |
 Independiente Santa Fe | 40% | 6 (4) | - | 54 |
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Deportes Tolima | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Independiente Medellin average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima 11-8
Independiente Medellin 18-11
What are the odds for this match?
Deportes Tolima to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.4
Independiente Medellin to win: @3.6
Lineups
Deportes Tolima: Cristopher Fiermarin, Junior Hernandez, Kevin Perez, Yhorman Hurtado, Marlon Torres, Brayan Rovira, Gonzalo Lencina, Mauricio Gonzalez, Juan Pablo Nieto, Juan Torres, Anderson Angulo
Independiente Medellin: Jose Ortiz, Eder Chaux, Halam Loboa, Daniel Londono, Leider Berrio, Jhon Palacios, Brayan Leon Muniz, Esneyder Mena, Alexis Serna Romana, Mender Garcia, Jader Valencia
Atletico Bucaramanga 
Deportes Tolima 
Fortaleza CEIF 
Independiente Santa Fe