Birmingham vs Derby Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Birmingham vs Derby Prediction: 2-1

Birmingham vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Friday December 26, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.

This Birmingham vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs Charlton

Birmingham must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 England Championship draw against Charlton on December 13. In that match, Birmingham recorded 61% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Birmingham	61%	10 (6)	1.32	59
Charlton	39%	2 (1)	1.12	33

Derby's Last Match – Sheff Wed vs Derby

Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 3-0 England Championship victory against Sheff Wed on December 15. In that match, Derby had 40% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Sheff Wed	60%	2 (1)	0.18	39
Derby	40%	12 (7)	1.63	41

Birmingham vs Derby Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Birmingham are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Birmingham Fixtures

Derby Fixtures