Our Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Portsmouth vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Monday March 16, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Portsmouth vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Portsmouth's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Swansea
Portsmouth will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 England Championship loss to Swansea on March 10. In that match, Portsmouth recorded 59% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portsmouth | 59% | 6 (3) | 0.93 | 48 |
 Swansea | 41% | 7 (3) | 0.7 | 21 |
Derby's Last Match – Millwall vs Derby
Derby will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship setback against Millwall on March 10. In that match, Derby recorded 50% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Millwall | 50% | 10 (4) | 1.44 | 53 |
 Derby | 50% | 9 (0) | 1.24 | 44 |
Portsmouth vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Portsmouth | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 1.33 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Portsmouth are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Portsmouth 13-11
Derby 18-13
What are the odds for this match?
Portsmouth to win: @2.2
Draw: @3
Derby to win: @3.3
Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1) : Nicolas Schmid, Terry Devlin, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Ebou Adams, Millenic Alli, Conor Chaplin, Gustavo Caballero, Jacob Brown
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Richard O'Donnell, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, Bobby Clark, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang