Our Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Portsmouth vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Monday March 16, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Portsmouth vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Portsmouth's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Swansea
Portsmouth will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 England Championship loss to Swansea on March 10. In that match, Portsmouth recorded 59% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portsmouth | 59% | 6 (3) | 0.93 | 48 |
 Swansea | 41% | 7 (3) | 0.7 | 21 |
Derby's Last Match – Millwall vs Derby
Derby will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship setback against Millwall on March 10. In that match, Derby recorded 50% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Millwall | 50% | 10 (4) | 1.44 | 53 |
 Derby | 50% | 9 (0) | 1.24 | 44 |
Portsmouth vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Portsmouth | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 1.33 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Portsmouth are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Portsmouth 13-11
Derby 18-13
What are the odds for this match?
Portsmouth to win: @2.2
Draw: @3
Derby to win: @3.3
Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1) : Nicolas Schmid, Terry Devlin, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Ebou Adams, Millenic Alli, Conor Chaplin, Gustavo Caballero, Jacob Brown
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Richard O'Donnell, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, Bobby Clark, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang
Coventry 
Middlesbrough 
Ipswich 
Millwall 
Hull 
Southampton 
Wrexham 
Derby 
Watford 
Norwich 
Birmingham 
QPR 
Preston 
Swansea 
Stoke 
Bristol City 
Sheff Utd 
Charlton 
Blackburn 
West Brom 
Portsmouth 
Leicester 
Oxford Utd 
Sheff Wed