Our Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction: 2-1
Portsmouth vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 12, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Portsmouth vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Portsmouth's Last Match – Coventry vs Portsmouth
After suffering a 0-1 England Championship loss to Coventry, Portsmouth must win to get back on track. In that match, Portsmouth recorded 35% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Coventry | 65% | 7 (2) | 1.44 | 61 |
 Portsmouth | 35% | 5 (1) | 0.97 | 27 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Burnley
Derby will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 England Championship share of the spoils with Burnley on April 8. In that match, Derby had 30% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 30% | 3 (0) | 0.92 | 42 |
 Burnley | 70% | 8 (2) | 0.79 | 39 |
Portsmouth vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Portsmouth | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Portsmouth are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Derby average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Portsmouth 11-10
Derby 9-10
What are the odds for this match?
Portsmouth to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.25
Derby to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1) : Nicolas Schmid, Zak Swanson, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Christian Saydee, Matt Ritchie, Isaac Hayden, Robert Atkinson, Freddie Potts, Josh Murphy, Colby Bishop
Derby (3-5-2) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Nat Phillips, Matt Clarke, Kane Wilson, Marcus Harness, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Nathaniel Mendez Laing