Our Burnley vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Burnley vs Derby in the England EFL Cup is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday August 26, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Burnley vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Tottenham vs Burnley
Burnley will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 England Premier League setback against Tottenham on August 16. In that match, Burnley controlled 32% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tottenham | 68% | 14 (6) | 2.32 | 51 |
Burnley | 32% | 11 (4) | 1.09 | 34 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Coventry
Derby will aim to put their last result behind them following a 3-5 England Championship loss to Coventry on August 16. In that match, Derby saw 47% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby | 47% | 6 (4) | 1.26 | 39 |
Coventry | 53% | 13 (9) | 3.27 | 43 |
Burnley vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.52 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 0.65 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.