Our Ipswich vs Derby Prediction: 3-1
Ipswich vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 30, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Ipswich vs Derby stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ipswich's Last Match – Preston vs Ipswich
Ipswich will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship setback against Preston on August 23. In that match, Ipswich had 72% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Preston | 28% | 3 (1) | 0.83 | 16 |
 Ipswich | 72% | 9 (1) | 1.31 | 61 |
Derby's Last Match – Burnley vs Derby
Derby will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England EFL Cup defeat against Burnley on August 26. In that match, Derby controlled 45% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 55% | 0 (4) | 1.29 | 59 |
 Derby | 45% | 0 (2) | 0.81 | 28 |
Ipswich vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Ipswich | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.12 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ipswich are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.9 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Ipswich 16-12
Derby 19-19
Lineups
Ipswich (4-2-3-1) : Alex Palmer, Ashley Young, Dara O'Shea, Jacob Greaves, Leif Davis, Jens-Lys Cajuste, Azor Matusiwa, Kasey McAteer, Conor Chaplin, Jaden Philogene, George Hirst
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Dion Sanderson, Max Johnston, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Bobby Clark, Lewis Travis, Callum Elder, Ebou Adams, Rhian Brewster, Carlton Morris