Our Derby vs Leicester Prediction: 1-2
Derby vs Leicester in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 6, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Derby vs Leicester prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Swansea vs Derby
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-1 England Championship victory against Swansea on November 25. In that match, Derby had 33% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swansea | 67% | 7 (4) | 0.63 | 71 |
 Derby | 33% | 10 (5) | 1.04 | 47 |
Leicester's Last Match – Southampton vs Leicester
Leicester will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 England Championship defeat at the hands of Southampton on November 25. In that match, Leicester recorded 41% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 59% | 12 (8) | 2.4 | 72 |
 Leicester | 41% | 2 (2) | 0.44 | 20 |
Derby vs Leicester Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Leicester average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.