Our Leicester vs Derby Prediction: 1-2
Leicester vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Monday December 29, 2025. We anticipate a 1-2 away victory, but given both teams’ ability to score, BTTS seems like a valuable betting option.
This Leicester vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leicester's Last Match – Leicester vs Watford
Leicester will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England Championship defeat against Watford on December 26. In that match, Leicester controlled 50% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leicester | 50% | 7 (1) | 0.61 | 53 |
 Watford | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.34 | 37 |
Derby's Last Match – Birmingham vs Derby
Derby will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 England Championship stalemate against Birmingham on December 26. In that match, Derby had 27% possession and 2 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 73% | 12 (9) | 3.15 | 103 |
 Derby | 27% | 2 (1) | 0.78 | 23 |
Leicester vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Leicester | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 0.7 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leicester are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Leicester 17-19
Derby 16-14
What are the odds for this match?
Leicester to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.25
Derby to win: @3.5
Lineups
Leicester (4-2-3-1) : Jakub Stolarczyk, Hamza Choudhury, Ben Nelson, Caleb Okoli, Luke Thomas, Jordan James, Oliver Skipp, Issahaku Fatawu, Bobby De Cordova-Reid, Stephy Mavididi, Jordan Ayew
Derby (3-4-1-2) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Liam Thompson, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang